While it won’t be the biggest combat sports event of this summer, UFC 214 is the biggest MMA event of the entire year. In addition to the Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card includes two extra title bouts, contenders and enjoyable fights throughout.
Brad Taschuk of all MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a peek at where the betting odds have proceeded for all 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were published and he gives his ideas on each matchup. All traces are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favorite first time these two scrapped and a few naively expected the lineup would be similar this time around. But, it appears that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the effect expected online. It’s difficult to blame bettors Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some hard battles since their very first meeting, and Jones won each aspect of the first fight. Expect something like – if not dominant – this time around.
Regardless of how badly he takes his groundwork, Jones is the type of fighter that rises to the occasion like others. He, this is the ultimate occasion. Cormier is his biggest rival and he has the opportunity to regain the belt he never dropped against him. That combination will result in a tremendous performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance at the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Similar to the main event, this line hasn’t seen much motion. Given the contrasting styles, that is not tough to trust. There’s a contingent of individuals who believe Woodley is going to starch Maia with the first punch he yells. They could very well be correct. The opposing side of this coin is made up of people who think that Maia can close the space, latch onto Woodley such as he has so many others and just dominate with his grappling. They are right as well. Woodley’s inclination to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher is going to be his demise here. Maia has gotten so good at going into the clinch if not under pressure he should have the ability to make Woodley overlook after. Even against a high-level wrestler the likes of Woodley, once Maia gets his hands on you, that is a huge trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to initiate Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting traditional takedowns is next to none (he’s perfected the single leg to rear take) and Woodley being the kind of man who likes to burst from places will only hurt him once that occurs. It’s kind of surprising that Maia by Sub pays an extra dollar (+275 at Thursday morning), since Woodley will not have the ability to endure 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the sort of fight he wishes to. The other choice is most likely a quick Woodley KO (+350 for your champ at Round 1, by the way).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This battle being bettable depends on which type of bettor you’re. If you have no difficulty throwing a huge lineup in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at nearly -1400), or Cyborg ITD (nearly -700) are nearly sure things. If that is not really your style, neither will probably be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop like Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I can make for a play relies on Evinger’s resilience. She has taken damage in several of her struggles and persevered and she probably won’t return to conquer Cyborg in this one after a rough start, there is an external shot she can survive five minutes. However, even the costs for”Fight Begins Round 2″ and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped considerably (down to +150 and +450, respectively), which makes them less appealing even to somebody who is constantly on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It’s a shame this fight is taking place after both men have seemingly passed their peak in terms of durability, because a war with Lawler and Cerrone at their best would be something to behold. This battle will return to space management and in-fight decisions. Lawler wants to be indoors, Cerrone wants to be outdoors. The problem for Cerrone is that Lawler’s consistent pressure will gradually see him get indoors and at that point, expect Cerrone to be much too ready to oblige him that the warfare he’s searching for. While that will grant us the type of fight we would like to see, don’t expect it to finish well for Cerrone.
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