Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 28-54 The Bet: Beneath with confidence Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record could not quite fit their over/under of 49.5. In 2014-15, they arrived 23.5 games short of reaching their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they had their over/under set at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 record fell well shy of the 38.5 over/under.
Each year, Vegas provides a realistic anticipation, listens because the public works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market staff and then (probably) collectively laughs as its prediction either ends true or overly optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than one match was 2012-13, along with the roster was a little different. So if this year break the mold?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is talented. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower into the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will probably be filled with cheering fans, even if some (many?) Of these will be rooting on the opposition.
But Carmelo Anthony remains on the roster, and there’s no end in sight to the never-ending will-they-won’t-they exchange saga. Ron Baker, Frank Ntilikina and ramon Sessions comprise the rotation. Convincing thickness exists at zero positions.
Please. Don’t wager on the Knicks to win more than 30 games.
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