At 29 years old Martin is coming into his prime. Undefeated at Welterweight he is showing substantial improvements in both ability and struggle IQ. Martin is a BJJ Blackbelt but it is his striking that’s shining recently showing fantastic motion and a very long troublesome jab. Maia is nearly 42 years old but still remains dangerous. On the floor his control and submission arsenal is unmatched. He has taken substantial damage in recent struggles in which his inability to get takedowns leaves him a sitting duck. Without a realistic name shot on the horizon you have to question his motivation going forward.
Stylistically this is a fight Maia should win, but with all the athletic and striking advantages in Martins favour the outcome is a lot closer than the line suggests. Maia will need early takedowns and possibly a finish in round one. Martin must make this hard and if he is trapped, has the BJJ to survive the submission attacks. Into around two will be at which Martin can take over as it is no key Maia slows drastically. This is a good spot to take the starving young fighter at dogs odds.Drew Dober Breakdown
Dober comes into this matchup off a reduction, but fought well and is showing a lot of improvements fight to fight. He’s developed his capability to compliment his fairly precise striking style. Another aspect to his sport is his wrestling, which he looks to mix into his offence more frequently. No world beater, but a well rounded fighter with a good chin means Dober matches up well with other reduced level fighters.
Polo Reyes is 34 decades of age and his durability is presently a huge question mark. Two of the last three fights have finished in a bad TKO loss. He throws with serious power but isn’t well rounded, as vulnerable by Had??ovi?? who dominated him around the ground before pounding out him. Essentially all of the skill benefits are with Dober leaving Reyes with few paths to success aside from a punchers chance. The Cost is steep but this fight should be a straight forward victory for Dober
Bet = Dober in 1.31 (-325) odds. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.55 Units.
Vinc Pichel Breakdown
This is a traditional big favourite prospect carrying a step upward snare. Roberts has a lot of hype but has neglected to spark so far against some lacklustre competition. There are a number of obvious holes in his game at which he’s backed up readily and retains his chin high. Pitchel is coming back after another layoff and in 36 there’s a chance he might look skinnier. He’s got big power and will want to force a brawl where his durability and durability can shine.
This should be a competitive game where we can’t overlook the odds on Pichel. Roberts has potential but has not shown anything yet to warrant this kind of price tag. Start looking for the veteran to induce striking exchanges and land some power shots. A KO is potential or close decision also probably.
Bet = Pichel at 3.50 (+250) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 5.0 Units.
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